International Economics
"The planetary web of trade, currency, and capital."
The Architecture of the Open Economy
No economy exists in a vacuum. Differences in resources and productivity drive nations to specialize and trade. Realm 12 expands the macroeconomic model across borders, tracking the flow of goods, services, and capital. It introduces the volatile mechanism of exchange rates and the ledger that records a nation's interaction with the rest of the world: The Balance of Payments.
The 70 Nodes of Realm 12
Deconstructing The Global Economy
International Trade
- Exchange of goods and services between countries.
- E.g., India exports medicines, imports oil.
- Driven by differences in resources, tech, costs.
Domestic vs Int'l Trade
- Domestic: Within same country.
- Int'l: Across borders.
- Introduces exchange rates, tariffs, BoP.
Why Countries Trade
- Differences in natural resources, climate.
- Labour skills, capital, technology.
- Allows specialization and exchange.
Absolute Advantage
- Producing a good using fewer resources.
- Or at a higher productivity than another country.
Comparative Advantage
- Producing at a lower opportunity cost.
- Leads to specialization and mutually beneficial trade.
- Even if one country is absolutely more productive in everything.
Opportunity Cost & Trade
- Country A gives up 2 wheat for 1 cloth.
- Country B gives up 4 wheat for 1 cloth.
- Country A has comparative advantage in cloth.
Specialisation
- Concentrating where opportunity costs are lower.
- Benefits: Efficiency, higher productivity, variety.
- Risk: Increased dependence on external suppliers.
Gains from Trade
- Consume combinations impossible domestically.
- Specialisation → Higher prod → Exchange → Gains.
Terms of Trade
- Relationship between export and import prices.
- Index = (Export Price Index ÷ Import Price Index) × 100.
- Increase = export prices rose relative to import prices.
Exports (X)
- Produced domestically, sold to foreign buyers.
- Brings foreign exchange earnings.
- E.g., Indian pharma, IT services.
Imports (M)
- Produced abroad, purchased domestically.
- Allows access to unavailable/costly goods.
- E.g., Crude oil, electronics.
Net Exports (NX)
- NX = Exports − Imports.
- X > M → Trade surplus.
- X < M → Trade deficit.
Trade Balance
- Focuses on merchandise exports vs imports.
- A country can have a merchandise deficit but a services surplus.
Services Trade
- Trade in intangible activities.
- IT, consulting, tourism, financial services.
- Substantial part of modern economies.
Global Value Chains
- Design → Component Prod → Assembly → Sale.
- Spread across multiple countries.
Globalisation
- Increasing economic integration across countries.
- Involves trade, investment, tech, info.
- Production networks.
Multinational Corps
- Operate across multiple countries.
- Invest abroad, source globally, transfer tech.
- Connects trade with FDI.
Foreign Direct Invest (FDI)
- Investment into a business in another country.
- With lasting interest and significant influence.
- E.g., Establishing a factory or tech center.
Foreign Portfolio Invest
- Investment in financial assets (shares, bonds).
- No direct managerial control.
- Part of the broader capital account.
Free Trade
- Fewer government restrictions on trade.
- Benefits: Specialisation, competition, lower prices.
- Access to foreign markets, variety.
Trade Barriers
- Restrictions: Tariffs, quotas, licensing.
- Standards, subsidies, import restrictions.
Tariff
- A tax imposed on imports.
- Makes importing more expensive.
- Govt gains revenue, consumers face higher prices.
Quota
- Quantitative limit on amount of import.
- Directly restricts quantity rather than taxing it.
Protectionism
- Policies to protect domestic producers from foreign competition.
- Args: Infant-industry, employment, national security.
Against Protectionism
- Creates higher prices, reduced choice.
- Inefficiency, retaliation, higher input costs.
- Trade policy involves trade-offs.
Export Subsidy
- Financial assistance to support exporters.
- Increases competitiveness but has fiscal costs.
- Can distort trade.
Trade Agreements
- Reduces barriers via bilateral, regional, multilateral deals.
- Establishes rules for participating countries.
World Trade Organization
- Institutional framework for international trade rules.
- Dispute settlement mechanism.
- Facilitates predictable, rules-based trade.
Exchange Rate
- Price of one currency in terms of another.
- Direction of quotation matters.
Appreciation
- Currency becomes MORE valuable relative to another.
- Fewer rupees needed to buy one dollar.
Depreciation
- Currency becomes LESS valuable relative to another.
- More rupees needed to buy one dollar.
Fixed Exchange Rate
- Maintained around a specified level.
- Done through policy intervention.
Floating Exchange Rate
- Value determined largely by market demand and supply.
- Subject to exchange-rate regime rules.
Demand for FX
- Arises from: Imports, foreign travel, overseas ed.
- Foreign asset purchases, external debt payments.
Supply of FX
- Enters through: Exports, foreign investment.
- Remittances, foreign borrowing, tourism.
Foreign-Exchange Market
- Enables currencies to be bought and sold.
- Rate reflects interaction of D & S for currency.
Effect of Depreciation
- Imports become more expensive domestically.
- Exports can become more competitive internationally.
Effect of Appreciation
- Imports become cheaper in domestic currency.
- Exports become more expensive for foreign buyers.
J-Curve Effect
- After depreciation, trade balance initially worsens.
- Then improves as quantities adjust.
- Depends on demand elasticities.
Balance of Payments
- Records economic transactions with Rest of World.
- Over a specified period.
- Broader than just the trade balance.
Current Account
- Goods + Services + Primary Inc + Sec Inc (Transfers).
Goods Balance
- Exports of goods − Imports of goods.
- Produces the merchandise / trade balance.
Services Balance
- Services exports − Services imports.
- E.g., IT, tourism, finance, transport.
Primary Income
- Income earned from providing factors across borders.
- Interest, dividends, profits, employee comp.
Secondary Income
- Transfers with no corresponding exchange of goods.
- E.g., Workers' remittances.
Capital Account
- Records specific capital transfers.
- Transactions in non-produced, non-financial assets.
- Not the same as all financial flows in IMF terminology.
Financial Account
- Transactions involving financial assets/liabilities.
- FDI, portfolio investment, loans, reserve assets.
FX Reserves
- Foreign currencies, gold, SDRs held by central bank.
- Manage external liquidity, support confidence.
BoP Deficit
- Imbalance indicates external financing needs.
- Accounting system records full set of transactions.
- Current-account deficit ≠ overall BoP crisis automatically.
Current-Acct Deficit
- Current-account outflows > inflows.
- Financed by FDI, portfolio flows, borrowing.
- Persistent CAD can raise external vulnerability.
Trade Deficit vs CAD
- Trade deficit: Goods only.
- CAD: Goods, services, income, transfers.
- Can have trade deficit but services surplus.
Remittances
- Transfers sent by individuals (migrants).
- Important part of external inflows for India.
Terms of Trade Shock
- Import prices rise significantly (e.g., oil).
- Worsens terms of trade, increases CAD pressure.
Oil & External Balance
- For oil importers: Oil P ↑ → Import Exp ↑.
- Widens trade/CAD pressures.
- Increases domestic inflation (Realm 11 connection).
Global Supply Shock
- Disruption affects imports, prod, exports, inflation.
- Int'l economics connects to domestic macro.
Globalisation Benefits
- Larger markets, specialisation, tech transfer.
- Foreign investment, cheaper inputs, consumer choice.
Globalisation Risks
- External shocks, import dependence.
- Job displacement, regional inequality, volatility.
Trade & Employment
- Expands export industries, pressures import-competing ones.
- Effects depend on skills, mobility, region.
Trade & Consumers
- Lower prices, greater variety.
- Access to foreign products/better inputs.
Trade & Growth
- Contributes via specialisation, economies of scale.
- Tech transfer, competition, investment.
Capital Flows
- FDI, portfolio invest, bank lending, borrowing.
- Finance investment but risk sudden reversals.
Capital Inflow
- FX inflow, Investment ↑, Capital formation ↑.
- Can cause currency appreciation pressure.
Capital Outflow
- FX demand ↑, currency depreciation pressure.
- Domestic asset prices may weaken.
External Debt
- Debt owed to non-residents.
- High foreign-currency debt increases vulnerability.
External Vulnerability
- High FX debt, short-term capital dependence.
- Low reserves, high import dependence.
Global Institutions
- IMF: Monetary coop, BoP support, stability.
- World Bank: Development, financing, knowledge.
- WTO: Rules-based framework for trade.
Trade & ER Conn.
- Exports ↑ → FX supply ↑ → ER pressure.
- Imports ↑ → FX demand ↑ → ER pressure.
- Also depends on capital flows & central banks.
Int'l Econ Master Chain
- Advantage → Specialisation → Trade → X/M.
- FX Flows → Exchange Rate → Current Account.
- Capital Flows → BoP → External Stability.
Globalisation Master Chain
- Trade+FDI+Tech+GVCs → Integration.
- Leads to Productivity + Market Access.
- But creates External Shocks + Vulnerabilities.
Core Formula Bank
- Net Exports = Exports − Imports.
- ToT = (Export Price Idx / Import Price Idx) × 100.
- Y = C + I + G + (X − M).
Exit Portal
We have mapped the circulatory system of the global economy. From the ships carrying physical goods to the digital pulses carrying capital, nations are bound together by comparative advantage and exchange rates. However, this global machinery was not built evenly, and it does not distribute its rewards equally. We must now turn inward, examining the deep structural transformations, poverty, and inequality that exist *within* nations.